𝔖 Bobbio Scriptorium
✦   LIBER   ✦

Author's response to comments on ‘exponential smoothing: The state of the art’

✍ Scribed by E. S. Gardner Jr.


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
1985
Tongue
English
Weight
119 KB
Volume
4
Category
Article
ISSN
0277-6693

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

✦ Synopsis


McKenzie's mention of Brown's contributions to exponential smoothing prompts this question: who invented the methodology? Like many other great ideas in management science, it appears that exponential smoothing was conceived by at least two researchers working independently, in this case Brown and Holt.


📜 SIMILAR VOLUMES


Comments on ‘exponential smoothing: The
✍ S. C. Hillmer 📂 Article 📅 1985 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 177 KB

I found Everette Gardner's review of exponential smoothing to be very interesting. It is successful in presenting a broad view of the current state of exponential smoothing. The paper is noncontroversial in that its aim is to summarize previous research on exponential smoothing rather than to come t

Some comments on the initialization of e
✍ Johannes Ledolter; Bovas Abraham 📂 Article 📅 1984 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 412 KB

It is shown that the traditional choice for the initial smoothed statistics in general exponential smoothing leads to the same forecasts as the equivalent ARIMA model, provided that one uses zero starting values for the initial shocks. In addition, an initialization which uses 'backforecasts' as ini

‘Exponential smoothing: The state of the
✍ Kenneth O. Cogger 📂 Article 📅 1985 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 168 KB

The comprehensive survey of the state of the art in exponential smoothing by Gardner was impressive on my first reading. When asked by the editors to organize commentaries on the paper, I was happy to take on this task, given my perception of its importance. Although much of the paper is not contro