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Australia's Medium-Run Exchange Rate: A Macroeconomic Balance Approach

✍ Scribed by NIKOLA DVORNAK; MARION KOHLER; GORDON MENZIES

Book ID
111208359
Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2005
Tongue
English
Weight
138 KB
Volume
81
Category
Article
ISSN
0013-0249

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In the economics literature on exchange rate determination no theory has yet been found that performs well in out-of-sample prediction experiments. Until today the simple random walk model has never been significantly outperformed. We have identified a set of fundamental long-run exchange rate model