## Abstract Empirical techniques are developed to adjust dynamic model forecasts on the seasonal time scale for southern African summer rainfall. The techniques, perfect prognosis and model output statistics (MOS), are utilized to βrecalibrateβ the CSIRO 9 general circulation model (GCM) largeβscal
Assessing variance components of general circulation model output fields
β Scribed by Reinhard Furrer; Steven Geinitz; Stephan R. Sain
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2012
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 854 KB
- Volume
- 23
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 1180-4009
- DOI
- 10.1002/env.2139
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
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A general circulation model (GCM) is an alternative way for predicting Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) over the existing empirical/statistical models in recent time. However, the inherent biases present in the GCM affect its performance. Therefore, there is a high requirement for bias correcti
## Abstract This study develops and applies a model output statistics (MOS) approach for correcting poor general circulation model (GCM) seasonal rainfall predictions over the Sahel region of West Africa. It illustrates a methodology for approaching the MOS prediction of regional rainfall, drawing