## Abstract A common explanation for the inability of the monetary model to beat the random walk in forecasting future exchange rates is that conventional time series tests may have low power, and that panel data should generate more powerful tests. This paper provides an extensive evaluation of th
Are exchange rates cointegrated with monetary model in panel data?
โ Scribed by Keun-Yeob Oh
- Book ID
- 101284973
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 1999
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 135 KB
- Volume
- 4
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 1076-9307
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
โฆ Synopsis
The question 'Does the monetary model explain the exchange rate movement?' is re-examined. Using the simple monetary model, whether or not the exchange rates are cointegrated with the monetary model is tested. With data from seven countries during the recent float period, the panel approach gives favorable results for the monetary model. At the same time, there is no cointegration relationship from the bilateral approach. From the results that the panel methods provide, with a higher power of testing, it seems that some results from previous tests with bilateral rates may become invalid.
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## Abstract Unit root tests, seeking mean or trend reversion, are frequently applied to panel data. We show that more powerful variants of commonly applied tests are readily available. Moreover, power gains persist when the modifications are applied to bootstrap procedures that may be employed when