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Appropriateness of correlated first-order auto-regressive processes for modeling daily temperature records

✍ Scribed by Radhakrishnan Nagarajan; R.B. Govindan


Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
2006
Tongue
English
Weight
166 KB
Volume
364
Category
Article
ISSN
0378-4371

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✦ Synopsis


The present study investigates linear and volatile (nonlinear) correlations of first-order auto-regressive process with uncorrelated AR (1) and long-range correlated CAR (1) Gaussian innovations as a function of the process parameter ðyÞ.

In the light of recent findings [A. Kira´ly, I.M. Ja´nosi, Phys. Rev. E 65 ( 2002) 0511021], we discuss the choice of CAR (1) in modeling daily temperature records. We demonstrate that while CAR (1) is able to capture linear correlations it is unable to capture nonlinear (volatile) correlations in daily temperature records.