In this paper, we provide a statistical analysis for the Lyapunov exponents estimated from time series. Through the Jacobian estimation approach, the asymptotic distributions of the estimated Lyapunov exponents of discrete-time dynamical systems are studied and characterized baaed on the time series
Analysis of positive Lyapunov exponents from random time series
β Scribed by Toshiyuki Tanaka; Kazuyuki Aihara; Masao Taki
- Publisher
- Elsevier Science
- Year
- 1998
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 563 KB
- Volume
- 111
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0167-2789
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β¦ Synopsis
The conventional method for estimating Lyapunov spectra can give spurious positive Lyapunov exponents when applied to random time series. We analyze this phenomenon by considering a situation in which the method is applied to completely random time series produced by a simple stochastic model. We show that the possible estimation of spurious positive Lyapunov exponents is due to the statistical nature and the finiteness of data. We also derive an upper bound of the largest Lyapunov exponent for the model, which is useful in testing positive Lyapunov exponents with random-shuffled surrogate data. The results suggest that the method should be applied very carefully to experimentally obtained chaotic time series with possible random contamination, so as to avoid spurious estimation of positive Lyapunov exponents as evidences of deterministic chaos.
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