An introduction to chaotic and random time series analysis
โ Scribed by Jeffrey D. Scargle
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 1989
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 982 KB
- Volume
- 1
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0899-9457
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
โฆ Synopsis
Chaos refers to the paradoxical evolution of a deterministic system in a way that is disordered-to the point that the time dependence of the physical variables appears stochastic. A need for data analysis procedures to detect, model, and separate chaotic and random processes has arisen from this recently understood paradigm. Many special techniques have been designed for chaotic data; the unification of these with conventional time series analysis is a developing field.This tutorial uses examples to explain the origin of chaotic behavior and the relation of chaos to randomness. Two powerful mathematical results are described: (1 ) a representation theorem guarantees the existence of a specific time-domain model for chaos and addresses the relation between chaotic, random, and strictly deterministic processes, and (2) a theorem assures that information on the behavior of a physical system in its complete state space can be extracted from time-series data on a single observable.These theorems form the basis of a practical data analysis scheme, as follows: given N observations of a variable Y, i.e., { Y,, n = 1,2,3, . . . , N ) , define X = A * Y and maximize, with respect to the parameters of A, a function H ( X ) that measures degree of chaos. This maximization is carried out by minimizing the dimension covered by the data in the M-dimensional space (Xn, X,,,, Xn+*, . . . , Xn+,-,). The resulting dimension D either (1) increases continuously with M or (2) levels off and remains constant (= D,,,) beyond a certain point. In case (1) or if Dmax is quite large X is random: if case (2) holds and Om,, is small, we have chaos. The inverse of A found in this procedure is an estimate of the filter in the moving average model for Y.
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**Praise for the First Edition** "This is a superb text from which to teach categorical data analysis, at a variety of levels. . . [t]his book can be very highly recommended." โ*Short Book Reviews* "Of great interest to potential readers is the variety of fields that are represented in the examp
Book Reviews 387 reasonable to expect that one book could cover it completely. This book contains many topics in the theory of discrete systems but fails to connect the theories presented to the physical systems from which the problems come, omits several parts of the theory that seem to be importan