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An application of fractional integration to a long temperature series

✍ Scribed by L. A. Gil-Alana

Publisher: John Wiley and Sons
Year: 2003
Tongue: English
Weight: 153 KB
Volume: 23
Category: Article
ISSN: 0899-8418
DOI: 10.1002/joc.968

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✦ Synopsis

Abstract

Some recently proposed techniques of fractional integration are applied to a long UK temperature series. The tests are valid under general forms of serial correlation and do not require estimation of the fractional differencing parameter. The results show that central England temperatures have increased about 0.23 °C per 100 years in recent history. Attempting to summarize the conclusions for each of the months, we are left with the impression that the highest increase has occurred during the months from October to March. Copyright © 2003 Royal Meteorological Society

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