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[ACM Press the 12th ACM conference - San Jose, California, USA (2011.06.05-2011.06.09)] Proceedings of the 12th ACM conference on Electronic commerce - EC '11 - Mechanisms for multi-level marketing

โœ Scribed by Emek, Yuval; Karidi, Ron; Tennenholtz, Moshe; Zohar, Aviv

Book ID
120574872
Publisher
ACM Press
Year
2011
Weight
660 KB
Category
Article
ISBN
1450302610

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In this paper, we examine the relative forecast accuracy of information markets versus expert aggregation. We leverage a unique data source of almost 2000 people's subjective probability judgments on 2003 US National Football League games and compare with the "market probabilities" given by two diff