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Accurate prediction of death by serial determination of galactose elimination capacity in primary biliary cirrhosis: A comparison with the mayo model

✍ Scribed by Prof. Jürg Reichen; Thomas Widmer; Jacques Cotting


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
1991
Tongue
English
Weight
662 KB
Volume
14
Category
Article
ISSN
0270-9139

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✦ Synopsis


We retrospectively analyzed the predictive accu-obtained and do not include histological criteria. racy of serial determinations of galactose elimi-Moreover, the model has been validated in populations nation capacity in 61 P a F n t s with Primary biliary independent of those leading to the initial formulation ClrrhOsfS. Death W a s PF:*cted from !he t!me that the (13,161. Although the Mayo model appears to be robust, regresslon llne descnblng the decline 1 x 1 galactose Some of its parameters (including serum bilirubin, elimination capacity vs. time intersected a value of prothrombin time and albumin level) could be affected 4 mg min-' * kg-'. Thirty-one patients exhibited deby extrahepatic factors. Moreover, it is most accurate creasing galactose elimination capacity; in 11 patients it stable and in 19 patients odyone value w8s shortly before the patient's death; this is sufficient for available. Among those patients with decreasing ga-the Optimal timing Of orthotopic liver tranSplantatiOn lactose elimination capacity, 10 died and three un-but does not permit assessment of pharmacological dement liver transplantation; prediction of death was interventions in patients with less-advanced disease. accurate to 7 * 19 mo. This criterion incorrectly pre-Finally, the applicability to individual patients may be dicted death in two patients with portal-vein throm-less than ideal (17). bosis; otherwise, it did better than or as well 8s the Dynamic liver function tests such as galactose elimi-Mayo clinic score. The latter was also tested on our nation capacity (GEC) or the minopyrine