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A study on the temporal dynamics of tourism demand in the Asia Pacific Region

✍ Scribed by Vincent Cho

Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2009
Tongue
English
Weight
618 KB
Volume
11
Category
Article
ISSN
1099-2340

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✦ Synopsis

Abstract

Using the monthly statistics of tourists from four different origins (America, Europe, Asia and Oceania) among seven places in the Asia Pacific region for a period from January 1991 to December 2005, we investigate these 28 time series using the Holt‐Winters method, artificial neural network and numerical graphical plots. Interesting comparisons on level fluctuations, trends and seasonal patterns of the time series among the Asia Pacific region are explored. These findings enable us to understand more about the temporal aspect of tourism demand in the Asia Pacific region. In sum, this paper lays out the importance of understanding the trend and seasonality indices in details. Copyright Β© 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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