## Abstract Modern theories of foreign direct investment claim that foreign direct investment occurs because certain domestic assets are worth more under foreign control. This view developed by industrial organization theorists is indifferent to the financing mode of a foreign acquisition as well a
A real option analysis of investments in hydropower—The case of Norway
✍ Scribed by Frode Kjærland
- Publisher
- Elsevier Science
- Year
- 2007
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 244 KB
- Volume
- 35
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0301-4215
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
✦ Synopsis
This paper presents a valuation study of hydropower investment opportunities in the Norwegian context. According to NVE (Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate, the regulator), there is a potential of 39 TWh not yet developed (generation in a normal year is approximately 120 TWh).
By using the conceptual real option framework of Dixit and Pindyck [1994. Investment Under Uncertainty. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ] one can estimate the value of investment opportunities to NOK 11 million/GWh (EUR 1.4 million/GWh). Furthermore, the optimal trigger price for initiating an investment based on electricity forward prices is calculated to NOK 0.32/kWh (EUR 0.04/kWh). The analysis shows consistency between real option theory and aggregate investment behaviour in Norwegian hydropower.
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