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A note on the use of Markov chains to analyze the off-peak season provision of guided tours to tourists

✍ Scribed by Amitrajeet A. Batabyal


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2010
Tongue
English
Weight
61 KB
Volume
13
Category
Article
ISSN
1099-2340

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✦ Synopsis


In this note, we provide answers to two hitherto unstudied questions in the tourism literature. Specifi cally, we fi rst show how the theory of discrete-time Markov Chains (DTMCs) can be used to effectively model and analyze the problem of providing guided tours to tourists during the off-peak season. Next, we model the existence of a capacity constraint and then show how DTMC theory can be used to derive a metric of interest to an optimizing tour providing fi rm, namely, the long run fraction of tourists to whom the fi rm under study is unable to provide tours.