## Abstract Various models of stochastic duels with round dependent hit probabilities have appeared in the literature [1]. However, none of them analyzed the effect interfiring times will have on the hit probability. In this paper we formulate a model for a marksman versus a passive target where t
A model of survival times for predator populations: The case of the army ants
β Scribed by N.F Britton; L.W Partridge; N.R Franks
- Publisher
- Springer
- Year
- 1999
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 162 KB
- Volume
- 61
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 1522-9602
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
β¦ Synopsis
We develop a method to estimate the expected time of survival of a predator population as a function of the size of the habitat island on which it lives and the dynamic parameters of the population and its prey. The model may be thought of either as a patch occupancy model for a structured population or as a model of metapopulation type. The method is applied to a keystone predator species, the neotropical army ant Eciton burchelli. Predictions are made as to how many of the islands and habitat islands in and around Gatun Lake in the Panama Canal, most of which were formed when the canal was dug, can be expected to support such a population today, and these are compared with data.
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A strict use of the annual renewal presupposes that predators and rodents live constantly together in large numbers with little outside interference and that the annual cycles have a high regularity in terms of weather and other living conditions. This is realized in the Arctic but perhaps not when
## Abstract A statistical model, based on a renewal cluster point process, is proposed and used to infer the distributional properties of dry periods in a continuousβtime record. The model incorporates a mixed probability distribution in which interβarrival times are classified into two distinct ty