This paper investigates the dynamics in a simple present discounted value asset pricing model with heterogeneous beliefs. Agents choose from a finite set of predictors of future prices of a risky asset and revise their 'beliefs' in each period in a boundedly rational way, according to a 'fitness mea
A model of dynamic equilibrium asset pricing with heterogeneous beliefs and extraneous risk
β Scribed by Suleyman Basak
- Publisher
- Elsevier Science
- Year
- 2000
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 244 KB
- Volume
- 24
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0165-1889
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β¦ Synopsis
We study equilibrium security price dynamics in an economy where nonfundamental risk arises from agents' heterogeneous beliefs about extraneous processes. We completely characterize equilibrium in terms of the economic primitives, via a representative agent with stochastic weights. Besides pricing fundamental risk, an agent now also prices nonfundamental risk with a market price which is a risk-tolerance weighted average of his extraneous disagreement with all remaining agents. Consequently, agents' perceived state prices and consumption are more volatile in the presence of extraneous risk. The interest rate inherits additional terms from: agents' misperceptions about consumption growth, and precautionary savings motives against the nonfundamental uncertainty.
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