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A model for the spatial spread of an epidemic

โœ Scribed by H. R. Thieme


Publisher
Springer
Year
1977
Tongue
English
Weight
767 KB
Volume
4
Category
Article
ISSN
0303-6812

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โœฆ Synopsis


We set up a deterministic model for the spatial spread of an epidemic. Essentially, the model consists of a nonlinear integral equation which has an unique solution. We show that this solution has a temporally asymptotic limit which describes the final state of the epidemic and is the minimal solution of another nonlinear integral equation. We outline the asymptotic behaviour of this minimal solution at a great distance from the epidemic's origin and generalize D. G. Kendall's pandemic threshold theorem (1957).


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