A US Federal election in which candidates from two major political parties compete for the votes of those undecided voters in a state who usually do not vote in US elections is considered. A mathematical model for evaluating the expectation of the margin of votes to be received from such voters by e
A micromodel of voter choice: Understanding the dynamics of Australian voter characteristics in a federal election
✍ Scribed by Aron O'Cass
- Book ID
- 102489632
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2002
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 171 KB
- Volume
- 19
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0742-6046
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
✦ Synopsis
Abstract
This study focuses on applying consumer‐behavior theory to understand voter characteristics and electoral behavior. The focus is on developing a micromodel that incorporates demographics, voter involvement, political opinion leadership, political knowledge, confidence, and satisfaction. The study was undertaken in an election in Australia for a Federal Lower House of Representatives Seat. Data were gathered from a sample of registered voters, with the results showing strong support for the theory developed. The results indicated strong influences for demographics on voter involvement, resulting in a significant influence of involvement on political opinion leadership. Political opinion leadership was also shown to influence subjective voter knowledge and knowledge impacting on voter decision confidence. The findings also confirmed a strong difference in voter satisfaction depending on voter involvement. The findings have significant implications for political marketing and voter‐behavior research. © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
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