✦ LIBER ✦

A Markov chain model for daily rainfall occurrence at Tel Aviv

✍ Scribed by K. R. Gabriel; J. Neumann

Publisher: John Wiley and Sons
Year: 1962
Tongue: English
Weight: 376 KB
Volume: 88
Category: Article
ISSN: 0035-9009
DOI: 10.1002/qj.49708837511

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

✦ Synopsis

Abstract

A Markov chain probability model is found to fit Tel Aviv data of daily rainfall occurrence. This accounts for the form of the distributions of dry and of wet spells and of weather ‘cycles’ which have been presented in earlier papers. Further aspects of rainfall occurrence patterns may be derived as well, and are found to fit the data. In particular, the distribution of the number of rainy days per week, month or other period is obtained. Numbers of rainy days in different months are apparently independent.

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