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A Manipulator Can Aid Prediction Market Accuracy

✍ Scribed by ROBIN HANSON; RYAN OPREA

Book ID: 111058314
Publisher: John Wiley and Sons
Year: 2009
Tongue: English
Weight: 143 KB
Volume: 76
Category: Article
ISSN: 0013-0427
DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0335.2008.00734.x

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## Abstract This article compares the forecast accuracy of different methods, namely prediction markets, tipsters and betting odds, and assesses the ability of prediction markets and tipsters to generate profits systematically in a betting market. We present the results of an empirical study that u