The threat of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) to humans was realized in March 1996, when the Spongiform Encephalopathy Advisory Committee (SEAC) reported to the government that the most likely explanation of the new variant CreutsfeldtΒ±Jakob Disease (nvCJD) in humans was exposure to the BSE a
A bayesian approach to modelling stochastic cycles
β Scribed by G. H. Brasil; Prof. R. C. Souza
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 1993
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 625 KB
- Volume
- 12
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0277-6693
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
β¦ Synopsis
This article deals with a fully Bayesian approach to describe the cyclical behaviour of a univariate time series. A damped sine wave where both the period and the damping factor are time varying is assumed as the underlying mathematical model for the cyclical component. The model is applied to two real data sets; the annual rainfall observations in Fortaleza, Brazil, and the annual Wolf sunspot numbers.
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