✦ LIBER ✦

A Bayesian analysis of the thermal challenge problem

✍ Scribed by F. Liu; M.J. Bayarri; J.O. Berger; R. Paulo; J. Sacks

Publisher: Elsevier Science
Year: 2008
Tongue: English
Weight: 226 KB
Volume: 197
Category: Article
ISSN: 0045-7825
DOI: 10.1016/j.cma.2007.05.032

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✦ Synopsis

A major question for the application of computer models is Does the computer model adequately represent reality? Viewing the computer models as a potentially biased representation of reality, Bayarri et al. [M. Bayarri, J. Berger, R. Paulo, J. Sacks, J. Cafeo, J. Cavendish, C. Lin, J. Tu, A framework for validation of computer models, Technometrics 49 (2) (2007) 138-154] develop the simulator assessment and validation engine (SAVE) method as a general framework for answering this question. In this paper, we apply the SAVE method to the challenge problem which involves a thermal computer model designed for certain devices. We develop a statement of confidence that the devices modeled can be applied in intended situations.

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